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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Postby WindsorBrokers » Tue Feb 12, 2013 9:33 am


The Euro trades in a sideways mode, consolidating recent reversal from 1.3710 that found footstep at 1.3352, the midpoint of 1.2996/1.3710 upleg. Near-term price action moves within 1.3352 and 1.3428, last Friday’s high / low, as yesterday’s recovery rally stalled at 1.3426, where 4h 20 day EMA capped. Hourly studies remain neutral, while 4h structure is still neutral and sees the downside at risk, as long as the price holds within near-term bear-channel off 1.3710. Initial barriers lie at 1.3428 and 1.3438, Fib 38.2% of 1.3710/1.3352, ahead of pivotal 1.3460 area, 05 Feb low / 50% of 1.3576/1.3352 / channel resistance, break of which to signal recovery, confirmation of which requires break above 1.3500. On the downside, slide below 1.3352 would signal bearish continuation and open psychological 1.3300 support, ahead of more significant 1.3260, higher platform / bull-trendline off 1.2660.

Res: 1.3400, 1.3428, 1.3458, 1.3500
Sup: 1.3375, 1.3352, 1.3300, 1.3265



Cable lost ground after pullback from last Friday’s high at 1.5843 accelerated and lost 1.5740/00 handles, to nearly fully retrace 1.5630/1.5843 recovery rally. This suggests that broader bearish structure, triggered by break below four-month range and multi-year bull-trendline from 2009 low at 1.3500, remains intact and keeps the downside in focus. Completion of near-term corrective phase below 1.5630, opens 1.5600, then 1.5530, Fib 76.4% of 1.5267/1.6380 ascend. Previous supports at 1.5700 and 1.5740 now act as resistances and are expected to cap for now.

Res: 1.5680, 1.5700, 1.5740, 1.5765
Sup: 1.5640, 1.5630, 1.5600, 1.5530



Bulls returned to play after recovery rally from 92.17 base accelerated through 94.00 barrier that signals bullish continuation of larger uptrend from 77.00 zone. This brings our initial target at 94.97, May 2010 high, in near-term focus, break of which to confirm medium-term base and signal stronger recovery of 2007/2011 downtrend. Corrective dips are seen preceding fresh rally, as the price pulls back from yesterday’s fresh high at 94.45, with 94.00 zone holding for now. Only slide below 92.00, would have the stronger impact on the near-term structure.

Res: 94.35, 94.45, 94.97, 95.72
Sup: 93.85, 93.58, 93.31, 93.00



The pair holds positive tone, as break 0.9200 barrier, 50% of 0.9387/0.9020 descend signals resumption of recovery rally from 0.9020 that paused on 0.9200/0.9150 consolidative phase. Positive near-term studies support the notion, with initial barrier at 0.9247, Fib 61.8%, seen as a trigger for extension towards psychological / Fib 76.4% resistance at 0.9300. Any slide below 0.9200, should hold above 0.9150, recent rage floor, to keep near-term bulls afloat. However, overall bearish tone persists and improvement requires regain of 0.9400 zone, previous highs / 200 day MA.

Res: 0.9247, 0.9273, 0.9300, 0.9323
Sup: 0.9200, 0.9178, 0.9150, 0.9115

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