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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Postby WindsorBrokers » Wed Jan 30, 2013 10:48 am


The Euro eventually attacks strong 1.3500 barrier, after yesterday’s break and close above previous high at 1.3477. Positive sentiment that drives the pair is supported by positive technicals and strong bullish momentum for clear break above 1.3500, 50% retracement of 1.4938/1.2042 and weekly inverted H&S neckline that is seen as a trigger for extension of broader uptrend from July 2012 annual low at 1.2042. Immediate targets lie at 1.3547/67, 02 Dec / 18 Nov 2011 highs, ahead of psychological 1.3600 barrier. On the downside, previous peaks at 1.3477 offer initial support, while any stronger retracement is expected to hold above 1.3420/00, 28/29 Jan range floor / previous highs.

Res: 1.3547, 1.3567, 1.3600, 1.3650
Sup: 1.3495, 1.3477, 1.3460, 1.3420



Near-term structure remains positive, as the pair recovers from the recent lows under 1.5700 handle, where temporary support was found. With over 61.8% of 1.5825/1.5673 being retraced so far, focus remains at 1.5800/20 breakpoint, reinforced by descending 55 day EMA, clearance of which is required to confirm near-term base and allow for stronger recovery. However, studies on 4h chart are still below their midlines and unless 1.5820 is cleared, risk of lower top and fresh weakness, as a part of larger downmove from 1.6380, still exists.

Res: 1.57721.5784, 1.5800, 1.5823
Sup: 1.5740, 1.5708, 1.5694, 1.5673



The pair regains strength, as corrective easing from 91.24 peak was contained by 20 day EMA at 90.31, just above strong 90.23/00 support zone. With 91.00 handle being regained and hourly studies turning positive, attack at 91.24 and fresh extension towards 92.00, is seen as likely near-term scenario. Any retracement should not exceed 90.00, in order to keep immediate bulls intact.

Res: 91.08, 91.24, 91.50, 92.00
Sup: 90.83, 90.31, 90.23, 90.00



Near-term bears remain in play, as the price consolidates above 0.9200 handle, following break below that spiked to 0.9191, Fib 138.2% extension of 0.9220/0.9291 upleg. With negative structure dominating on the lower timeframes studies, the downside remains favored, with sustained break below 0.9200, expected to open 0.9100/0.9080 base. The upside is seen protected at 0.9240/50 zone, Fib 50% / 61.8% of 0.9291/0.9191 / 55 day EMA, where rallies should be capped.

Res: 0.9224, 0.9240, 0.9253, 0.9291
Sup: 0.9205, 0.9191, 0.9175, 0.9109

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