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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

Postby WindsorBrokers » Tue Mar 08, 2011 9:06 am

EUR/USD

Failure to sustain gains above 1.40 psychological barrier and 4-hour bull channel ceiling has seen reversal below 1.40, after hitting fresh 4-month high at 1.4035. The pair extends lower after initial support was found at 1.3955, with further reversal seen towards 1.3860, former high, where a higher low is anticipated ahead of fresh push higher. Clear break above 1.4000/35 will open 1.4083/1.4100 next.

Res: 1.3987, 1.4005, 1.4035, 1.4050
Sup: 1.3924, 1.3890, 1.3860, 1.3845

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GBP/USD

Upside remains intact for now, as yesterday’s renewed attempt at 1.6342 failed, with subsequent reversal losing supports at 1.6234/14, and extending losses to 1.6181, over 50% of Fibonacci retracement of 1.6030/1.6342 upleg. Near-term outlook has turned negative, looking for fresh weakness towards 1.6160/45, 25 Feb high / 61.8% retracement, while 1.6205/34 offers immediate resistance and caps the upside for now.

Res: 1.6207, 1.6214, 1.6234, 1.6255
Sup: 1.6170, 1.6160, 1.6145, 1.6132

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USD/JPY

Returns to strength after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high dipped to 81.94, where a footstep was found. Upside clearance of 82.40 looks for fresh attempt at 83.00 zone, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to confirm recovery mode from 81.57 and re-expose 84.00/84.49 key short-term resistance zone. Failure under 83.05, however, would suggest an end of recovery phase, with loss of 82.20/05, 20 day MA / trendline support , needed to confirm.

Res: 82.46, 82.75, 82.90, 83.05
Sup: 82.20, 81.94, 81.76, 81.57

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USD/CHF

Continues to trade within 100 pips range after bounce from fresh record low at 0.9200 was limited by 0.9327, 02 Feb former low / 04 Mar high. Fresh strength is underway, approaching 0.9327 barrier, with sustained break higher required to signal fresh recovery towards 0.9415/32, 38.2% retracement / 21Feb former low. Extremely overbought hourly conditions, however, warn of correction, with immediate support seen at 0.9275.

Res: 0.9342, 0.9390, 0.9415, 0.9432
Sup: 0.9320, 0.9302, 0.9275, 0.9234

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