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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Feb 22 2013

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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Feb 22 2013

Postby alayoua » Fri Feb 22, 2013 10:02 am

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Feb 22 2013

Social unrest against austerity measures rises in Europe

Greece and Bulgaria are in the main focus on Wednesday as dissatisfaction with the tough austerity measures pushed the people in both countries to protest in the streets.S&P warned that Cyprus might be downgraded to CCC+ and finally default. BoE Minutes revealed that Governor Mervyn King was outvoted on QE extension. Angela Merkel and Mariano Rajoy were also on the wires. Greek workers took part in the first general strike of the year. They protested against the reduction of wages and tax increases. Gsee y Adedy, two main labor unions which organized the strike, believe that the measures adopted by the government aggravate the situation in the country where the unemployment rate reached 27%, while youth unemployment stands at 60%.

The violent protests in Bulgaria on Tuesday, suppressed brutally by the police, resulted on Wednesday in the resignation of the country’s government. PM Boiko Borisov announced the decision in the morning, attributing it to his disapproval of way the protesters were handled the previous night. Bulgarians have been expressing their opposition towards the latest increases in the cost of electricity and power monopolies. They have also been accusing politicians of corruption and showing dissatisfaction with the low living standards. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said in the European morning that countries should not carry out active exchange rate policies. She also stated that the “euro between $1.30 and $1.40 is normal in the historical perspective of the euro”. Spanish PM Mariano Rajoy presented new fiscal reforms on Wednesday, and announced that steps will be taken in order to prevent and suppress corruption connected with financial activities of political parties.

2013-02-22 07:00 GMT | Germany. Gross Domestic Product s.a (QoQ) (Q4)
2013-02-22 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. European Commission Releases Economic Growth Forecasts
2013-02-22 13:30 GMT | Canada. Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (Jan)
2013-02-22 15:30 GMT | United states. FOMC Member Powell Speech

2013-02-22 05:31 GMT | AUD/JPY capped below weekly opening price 96.35
2013-02-22 05:20 GMT | EUR/USD, bearish storm set to continue?
2013-02-22 04:18 GMT | AUD/USD extends gains above 1.0320
2013-02-22 04:16 GMT | GBP/USD spikes to key 1.5320 resistance

HIGH 1.32188 LOW 1.31828 BID 1.32144 ASK 1.32150 CHANGE 0.2% TIME 07 : 51:59

TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: EURUSD has gradually climbed during the Asian session, having made fresh high but lately lost momentum. In terms of technical levels next resistance level could be found at 1.3233 (R1). Appreciation above it would enable higher marks at 1.3270 (R2) and 1.3308 (R3). Downwards scenario: Instrument has comfortably ranged after its initial bearish setup and any further downside extension is protected now by the key support at 1.3160 (S1). Loss here is required to enable our initial targets at 1.3124 (S2) and 1.3086 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 1.3233, 1.3270, 1.3308
Support Levels: 1.3160, 1.3124, 1.3086

HIGH 1.53199 LOW 1.52438 BID 1.52870 ASK 1.52885 CHANGE 0.25% TIME 07 : 52:00

TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration

Upwards scenario: While instrument trades above the moving averages, it keeps immediate upside potential. Next hurdle is seen at 1.5323 (R1), break above it might extend gains towards to next targets at 1.5365 (R2) and 1.5406 (R3). Downwards scenario: The short oriented traders expected to be in play below the next support level at 1.5210 (S1) to confirm downside evolvement. Clearance of this level I required to open way towards to next targets at 1.5166 (S2) and 1.5120 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5323, 1.5365, 1.5406
Support Levels: 1.5210, 1.5166, 1.5120

HIGH 93.414 LOW 92.919 BID 93.282 ASK 93.287 CHANGE 0.18% TIME 07 : 52:01


Upwards scenario: USDJPY trapped to the consolidation phase. Fresh peak formed today offers a good resistance level at 93.42 (R1). Break here is required to take the pair towards to initial targets, located at 93.57 (R2) and 93.72 (R3). Downwards scenario: Relatively stable market is looking for priority in direction. Any prolonged movement below the support at 93.10 (S1) might enable downside forces and drive market price towards to next marks at 92.95 (S2) and 92.78 (S3) in perspective.

Resistance Levels: 93.42, 93.57, 93.72
Support Levels: 93.10, 92.95, 92.78

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd
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