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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 10 2013

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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 10 2013

Postby alayoua » Wed Apr 10, 2013 10:59 am

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 10 2013

Moody’s maintains a negative outlook on Spanish rating

Moody’s rating agency announced today that it maintains a negative outlook on Spain’s Baa3 credit rating. One of the main reasons for this decision was the agency’s conviction that the country will fail to reach the 4.5% deficit target fixed by the EU. In Moody’s opinion, Spain will only manage to bring down its deficit to 6% this year, failing thus to reach the 4.5% target required by Brussels. In the report, which was released in the European morning, the agency assures that the continuous deviations from the deficit objectives and the recurring revisions of the estimates carried out by the Spanish government undermine its credibility. Even though the agency acknowledges the country’s fiscal consolidation efforts and highlights the good results obtained in 2012, it also warns against the multiple threats to the Spanish economy.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/10042013/


N/A | China. New Loans (Mar)
2013-04-10 17:00 GMT | USA. 10-Year Note Auction
2013-04-10 18:00 GMT | USA. US FOMC Minutes
2013-04-10 22:30 GMT | New Zeland. Business NZ PMI (Mar)


2013-04-10 04:29 GMT | EUR/USD, above 1.31 where true strength test begins
2013-04-10 03:31 GMT | NZD/JPY at 95 not outside the bounds of possibility - BNZ
2013-04-10 02:26 GMT | AUD/JPY pushes again above 104 highs post China trade deficit
2013-04-10 02:22 GMT | AUD/USD strengthens bullish case; 1.0516 new high post China trade


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EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30907 LOW 1.30731 BID 1.30754 ASK 1.30763 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08:35:48

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OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: While price is quoted above the moving averages out technical outlook would be positive. Yesterday high offers next resistance level at 1.3103 (R1). Any price action above it would suggest next targets at 1.3128 (R2) and 1.3154 (S3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 1.3068 (S1) is liable to put more downward pressure on the instrument in the near-term perspective. As a result our supportive means at 1.3042 (S2) and 1.3015 (S3) might be triggered.

Resistance Levels: 1.3103, 1.3128, 1.3154
Support Levels: 1.3068, 1.3042, 1.3015

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GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.53389 LOW 1.53125 BID 1.53201 ASK 1.53205 CHANGE 0.02% TIME 08:35:49

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OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: On the upside potential is seen for a break above the resistance at 1.5341 (R1). In such case we would suggest next target at 1.5361 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 1.5382 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, successful retest of our next support level at 1.5311 (S1) might provide sufficient momentum for the price acceleration towards to interim target at 1.5292 (S2). Final aim for today locates at 1.5271 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5341, 1.5361, 1.5382
Support Levels: 1.5311, 1.5292, 1.5271

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USDJPY :
HIGH 99.314 LOW 98.914 BID 99.129 ASK 99.135 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08:35:50

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OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: We are not expecting busy session ahead however upwards extension above the resistance at 99.65 (R1) level would keep the bullish structure intact and validate our next intraday targets at 100.12 (R2) and 100.57 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the short-term perspective the pair might encounter supportive measures at 98.74 (S1). Loss here might change intraday technical structure and opens the way for a test of 98.32 (S2) and 97.89 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 99.65, 100.12, 100.57
Support Levels: 98.74, 98.32, 97.89

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd
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