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Daily Market News By FXNET

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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Thu Aug 07, 2014 6:55 am

Fundamental Analysis August 7
EUR/USD kept on decliing exchanging at 1.3369 after German production line requests missed desires. The euro slipped to a nine-month low on Wednesday, broadening its misfortunes after information demonstrated a sharp drop in German mechanical requests, while the New Zealand dollar took a hit after a fall in dairy costs. A Singapore-based dealer said financial specialist hazard revultion on worries about the strains in Ukraine served to reinforce the dollar extensively, and weighed on the euro.

GBP/USD eased 44 points to trade at 1.6842 after industrial and manufacturing production missed expectations following a drop in PMI last week. Businesses and taking on more staff, but a strong sterling is hurting exports. The Confederation of British Industry (CBI), the UK’s largest business lobbyist, said in its monthly SME manufacturing survey for July that 31% of firms reported output increasing, while 16% said that it decreased, giving a balance of +15%.

AUD/USD took a major fall after the release of unemployment numbers this morning tumbling to 0.9285 down 69 points when just last month traders were hoping to see the currency break 95. The unemployment rate has surged to a 12-year high in July as the number of Australians in jobs went backwards, adding to political pressure on the government.

USD/JPY tumbled on Wednesday to trade at 102.12 and recovered 7 points this morning to reach 102.19 after the greenback lost a bit of its momentum. US data remained positive with the trade balance narrowing well below forecasts as exports skyrocketed again this month. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) looks set to bring no major surprises at its policy meeting this week, but the market will be keeping an ear out for any changes in Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s optimistic stance on the economy.

Gold was steady after climbing in the Asian session adding $6.50 to trade at 1291.80. Gold edged up slightly and could benefit from a bout of market risk aversion as fears of increasing military action along the Ukraine border put global equities under pressure. Geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East have largely been responsible for gold’s 7 percent gain this year. Gold, often seen as alternative investment to riskier assets such as equities, could gain if stocks fall further.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby CommexFX » Fri Aug 08, 2014 4:51 am

Daily Outlook 8-08-2014

QE didn’t show up of course and the majors didn’t do anything altogether diverse. There is checked contrast with the values in this portion in regards to the value activities.

Euro (1.3362) didn’t find any course significantly after the ECM meet and is stuck in the restricted scope of 1.3330-90. Sit tight for a breakout to run with the fleeting stream. All the bigger patterns stay down.

Dollar-Yen (101.81) is exchanging the scope of 101-103 yet lost the bullish catalyst to endeavor the troublesome ascent to 103.50-104.the extent bound value activity doesn’t look like closure whenever soon. Euro-Yen (136.01) is trying the real help zone of 136.00-135.75 after the Euro debilitated. A break underneath 135.75 would mean a conceivable adventure towards 134 levels.

Pound (1.6812) tried 1.68 levels after a sharp dismissal from 1.6890-6900 obviously. The BOE meet couldn’t influence the pattern or course in any critical way and all ricochets ought to be restricted to 1.69 levels in this firm downtrend.

Aussie (0.9256) is experiencing a horrible selloff as its Unemployment rate hits a 12-year high and the Labor Force information takes a swing at -300 against the normal 13500. The value activity at the long haul help zone of 0.9250-0.92 may focus the medium term heading and pattern.

Gold (1316.02) is climbing pointedly and if that maintains, it may focus on 1340-1350 in the close term. This may be an impermanent ascent and we might soon see a fall towards 1300 from 1340-1350 levels. Gold-WTI degree (13.48) is trying urgent safety close to 13.5 and that may push it towards 13-12.5 in the close term. That may indicate a bearish Gold perhaps after a few sessions.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Fri Aug 08, 2014 6:09 am

Fundamental Analysis August 8
EUR/USD moved by 3 focuses in front of today's ECB declaration. The national bank is relied upon to hold rates and approach. The firecrackers will come amid Mr. Draghi's question and answer session late in the exchanging day. ECB authorities have said quantitative maneuvering is a choice, however remarks by the bank's German unexpected propose the bar may be high.

GBP/USD is holding at 1.6844 ahead of the BoE announcement. Policy makers will keep their asset-purchase target at 375 billion pounds, and the benchmark interest rate has been at 0.5 percent since March 2009. “As the economy normalizes, Bank Rate will need to start to rise in order to achieve the inflation target,” Carney said in a speech in Glasgow, Scotland, on July 23. “But the MPC has no pre-set course and the timing of any increases in interest rates will be determined by the data.”

AUD/USD tumbled to trade at 0.9256 while the US dollar held strong, after President Obama announced airstrikes in Iraq surprising the world. There was little reaction to the Chinese trade balance which printed in the green at 47.30 billion against expectations of 27.00 billion, although imports tumbled leaving questions about the Chinese recovery.

USD/JPY gave up 29 points this morning to trade at 101.80 as the yen surged on safe haven buying after the Americans announced an air offensive against ISIS in Iraq. President Barack Obama authorizes the U.S. military to conduct airstrikes against Islamist forces as needed but says the nation would not send new ground troops there.

Gold gave back some of yesterday’s gains to trade at 1305.40. Gold held on to overnight gains above $1,300 on Thursday, trading near its highest in more than a week as fears of Russian military action against Ukraine and retaliation by Moscow over Western sanctions burnished gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Mon Aug 11, 2014 8:22 am

Forex Daily Analysis - 11 Aug 2014

EUR/USD recouped and included 27 focuses today, as German exchange offset numbers missed desires yet sends out for surpassed imports helping giving a superior take a gander at the report. The US dollar pushed higher against the euro and the pound on Thursday after the European Central Bank and the Bank of England left their financial stances unaltered in strategy surveys.

GBP/USD eased by 23 points to trade at 1.6809 and looks to break into the 1.67 range but the US dollar continued to weaken as traders worry about the US entering the war in Iraq after President Obama approved air strikes against ISIS. The pound was weighed down by disappointing trade balance numbers along with worries about Scotland leaving the United Kingdom

AUD/USD gained 6 points to trade at 0.9282 against a strong dollar. Traders this morning are correcting an overreaction late last week when the Aussie tumbled on global stress and a mixed up Chinese trade balance print. Positive data from China over the weekend helped support the currency.

USD/JPY gained 12 points as the yen declined after lackluster data and a dovish BoJ monthly report. The pair moved to trade at 102.16. The Bank of Japan on Friday maintained record stimulus after recent production and export data highlighted weakness that could challenge Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s push to stoke faster inflation.

Gold is holding on to early morning gains trading at 1318.50 as geopolitical tensions are the only market focus after President Obama approved air strikes in Iraq and war returned to Gaza. Spot gold prices rose this morning on increasing safe haven bids and gained more than half a percent amid rising tensions in Iraq and Ukraine. Prices turned positive on reports that U.S. President Barack Obama approved air strikes and emergency relief airdrops to help 40,000 religious minorities in Iraq, who are trapped on a mountaintop after threats by Islamic militants.
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Daily Outlook 11-08-2014

Postby CommexFX » Mon Aug 11, 2014 9:13 am

The significant pattern may be down for about all the majors against the Dollar, yet in the short term, an exertion to assemble base is unmistakable, as apparent in Euro & Aussie. Fleeting energizes this week in the majors can’t be discounted.

Euro (1.3402) has made two week by week candles with long legs, recommending monstrous lack of engagement to go down. An endeavor to rally towards 1.3450-75 can’t be discounted however all the bigger patterns still stay down.

Dollar-Yen (102.15) is exchanging the scope of 101-and the extent bound value activity doesn’t look like closure at whatever time soon. Euro-Yen (136.89) ricocheted from precisely the significant help zone of 136.00-135.75 on the over of a stronger Euro. It may test 137.40-138.00 now however obliges a break over 138 to truly indicate any quality.

Pound (1.6781) has been making new lows not surprisingly yet now a restorative bob to 1.69 levels may be not that startling. A disappointment to bob would mean a prompt tumble to 1.6740-6700 levels.

Aussie (0.9284) has been pushed up by the long haul help zone of 0.9250-9200 and that secures the almost 5 month long scope of 0.92-0.95, which is not looking any indications of breaking yet. Expect safety at 0.9350-75.

Gold (1305.98) fell off from the every day channel safety close to 1333. A fall underneath 1300 may take it lower to 1280 however while over 1300-1305 we may expect an ascent towards 1340-1350 in the close term. Gold-WTI proportion (13.32) has descended a bit however is exchanging close significant safety of 13.5 which if holds may push it towards 13-12.5 in the close term. Gold may be bearish all things considered.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Wed Aug 13, 2014 7:13 am

Forex Daily Analysis - 13 Aug 2014

EUR/USD given way today after German information hit the ropes. The euro tumbled to exchange at a 9 month low, falling 45 focuses to exchange at 1.3338. The euro slid Tuesday after a droop in German monetary notion further powered stresses that the financial standoff with Russia over the clash in Ukraine is harming Europe's economy.german government obligation turned higher, while German shares falled behind a pickup in most local value markets.

GBP/USD eased by 8 points on the prospect of a disappointing UK jobs data to trade at 1.6778. BoE Governor Mark Carney will address the press after the inflation report, which is also going to be crucial for sterling. What follows is another important event – the second quarter GDP data, due on Friday. The UK claimant count is forecast to have dropped by 30,000 in July compared to the 36,300 drop recorded in June. Forecasters see the ILO unemployment rate for the three months to June at 6.4%, down from 6.5% in May.

AUD/USD eased by 3 points against the dollar rally. Strong data from Oz helped fight off the climbing US dollar. Australian house prices beat expectations along with the NAB business survey. The Australian dollar has stabilized following dramatic moves last week when the currency fell to two-month lows on the back of weaker-than-expected data and economic growth forecasts from the central bank.

USD/JPY climbed 13 points as traders moved away from safe haven trades leaving the JPY weak after a rash of disappointing economic data yesterday and last week as traders wait for the release on industrial production numbers. The US dollar surged 10 points in the morning session climbing to 81.61. On Monday, the US dollar rallied against the yen and euro after the unit plunged in the wake of last week’s announcement that Washington had authorized air strikes in Iraq.

Gold is moving between small gains and losses trading at 1311.60 but hugging the $1310 price level all day as geopolitical risks kept markets watchful. In Iraq, a new political crisis was brewing just days after Washington launched its first military action against insurgents from the Islamic State.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Thu Aug 14, 2014 8:14 am

Forex Daily Analysis - 14 Aug 2014

GBP/USD tumbled 103 focuses after remarks from Bank of England Governor to exchange at 1.6708 in the wake of hopping on better than anticipated employments information. The pound tumbled to a two-month low versus the dollar as merchants pushed back their desires for premium rate expands after the Bank of England cut its estimate for pay development. The British pound spiked quickly before tumbling.

AUD/USD added 13 points to trade at 0.9281 after a significant jump in consumer confidence. Weak economic data and a downbeat central bank statement dampened sentiment towards the Australian dollar recently, but one analyst told CNBC investors shouldn’t give up faith. The currency fell 2.6 percent from its July 1 year-to-date high of $0.9504 against the U.S. dollar to a two-month low of around $0.9236 last week amid rising unemployment and a weaker growth outlook.

USD/JPY gained 4 points to trade at 102.30 after Japanese GDP missed expectations. Gross domestic product shrunk by an annualized 6.8% in the three months ended June, Japan’s Cabinet Office said Wednesday. The result was actually better than the 7% contraction expected by economists. Government officials were more sanguine about Wednesday’s data. Economy Minister Akira Amari said the figure didn’t change the government’s outlook that the economy continues to improve steadily. He said the government would respond flexibly on the economy but added that he didn’t currently see a need to compile an additional budget.

Gold was directionless today, remaining flat in the Asian session and moving between small gains and losses during European trading to sell for 1310.20. The Federal Reserve is cutting debt purchases and contemplating interest-rate increases as the economy strengthens. The dollar was near a nine-month high versus the euro after data showed yesterday German investor confidence slumped and before a report today that may show U.S. retail sales increased for a sixth month.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Fri Aug 15, 2014 4:30 am

Fundamental Analysis August 15
EUR/USD recuperated 27 focuses to exchange at 1.3391 after a large number of blended information and a confounded ECB month to month report. The dollar gave back increases the greater part of the morning to trade at 81.53. Euro zone swelling will be weaker than long ago expected in the not so distant future and next, an overhauled review for the European Central Bank showed today, obscuring the euro zone's monetary standpoint.

GBP/USD is flat today holding at 1.6691 after disappointing inflation information and comments from the central bank on Wednesday. The BoE lowered its growth estimate for U.K. wages to 1.25% for the year, down from 2.5%, or half of the previous estimate; 2015 wage growth estimates were also revised downward.

AUD/USD eased by 8 points to trade at 0.9298 after iron ore prices tumbled to their weakest this month weighing on the Aussie. Earlier in June, the iron ore price dropped to as low as $US89 a ton, but despite a minor rebound since then year-to-date falls are still over 30 per cent. The latest downward move comes amid continued oversupply in the market due to increased supply from heavyweights like BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto and softer demand from China.

USD/JPY continued to rise as the US dollar gained momentum as traders overlooked weak US data but focused on a significant drop in Japanese GDP. The USDJPY is trading at 102.60 up by 17 points this morning. The Japanese Yen traded on a negative note and depreciated around 0.2 percent yesterday on the back of expectation that global policy makers will keep borrowing costs low for longer, damping demand for haven assets. The Yen touched an intra-day low of 102.36.Japan’s Core Machinery Orders gained 8.8 percent in June as against a fall of 19.5 percent in June.

Gold is moving between small gains and losses holding at 1315.80. Gold consumption fell by an annualized 16 percent in the second quarter of 2014 as Chinese and Indian buyers cut back on record purchases a year earlier, sector data showed.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby Froso@FXNET » Fri Aug 22, 2014 4:08 am

Fundamental Analysis August 22
EUR/USD gained 8 points as traders breathed a sigh of relief when PMI numbers were not as bad as expected. The US dollar gave back some early gains but remains strong at 82.29. Data from Germany eased pressure on the struggling euro today after speculation of an earlier rate rise from the Federal Reserve had pushed the dollar to an 11-month high. Share markets had been feeling flat following a disappointing survey on Chinese manufacturing overnight but they too got a lift from the news that Germany’s private sector grew for a 16th month running in August.

GBP/USD is trading at 1.6588 down just 6 points after a strong retail sales release. The pound, down more than six cents in the past month, had gained a foothold on Wednesday after minutes from the Bank of England’s own last policy meeting showed the first dissenting votes on its policy committee for a rise in interest rates. But a similarly hawkish message from the Fed sent the dollar higher across the board after UK markets closed, driving the pound to less than $1.66 for the first time since early April.

AUD/USD lost 6 points to trade below 93 touching 0.9296 after a speech from RBA Governor Stevens. In Australia, the Reserve Bank Governor gave testimony to the House of Representatives Economics committee. In the US, weekly mortgage finance data is released with the minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting.

Gold tumbled $13.60 to trade at 1281.60 as traders moved to more profitable assets. Gold extended losses to a fifth session on Thursday, dropping to a two-week low after the US dollar strengthened on indications from the US Federal Reserve that it could raise interest rates sooner than expected. A surprisingly strong recovery in the US job market could lead the Fed to raise interest rates earlier than it had been anticipating, minutes from the Fed’s July meeting showed, although most officials wanted further evidence before changing their view.
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Re: Daily Market News By FXNET

Postby CommexFX » Fri Aug 22, 2014 8:12 am

Daily Outlook 22-08-2014

EUR / USD
The EUR rose 0.17% against the USD and closed at 1.3280, following upbeat macroeconomic data from Germany.

French manufacturing PMI fell to 15-month low of 46.5 in August, underlying concerns about the economic outlook of the Eurozone’s second largest economy.

In the US, the Kansas City Fed President Esther George, in an interview from the central bank symposium in Jackson Hole, mentioned that there is steady improvement in the US labour market. Also, the Philadelphia Fed President, Charles Plosser, warned that the Fed should not wait too long to raise benchmark rates and should start raising it sooner, while pursuing a gradual approach.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.3252, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3224. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3299, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3318.

Trading trends in the pair today would be mainly determined by the speeches of heads of the Fed and the ECB, in Jackson Hole, scheduled later in the day.

GBP / USD
The GBP fell 0.10% against the USD and closed at 1.6579, after retail sales in the UK grew at the slowest annual rate since November last year.
The UK retail sales volumes rose 0.1% in July, compared to a revised advance of 0.2% in the previous month.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.6561, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6544. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6599, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6620.

Going forward, a speech by the BoE’s Deputy Governor, Ben Broadbent, at the Fed Jackson Hole Symposium, would be closely watched.

USD / JPY
The USD strengthened 0.13% against the JPY and closed at 103.85.

Japan’s supermarket sales in July fell 2.1%, on an annual basis, down for the fourth straight month after posting a 2.8% drop in the previous month.

The pair is expected to find support at 103.61, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 103.42. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 103.98, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 104.16.
USD / CHF
The USD declined 0.22% against the CHF and closed at 0.9115.

the Swiss trade surplus widened to 3.98 billionswiss francs in July, compared to market expectations of a surplus of CHF1.85 billion.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.91, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9086. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9137, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9160.
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