USD/CHF - Analysis, Outlook and Forecasts

USD/CHF (US Dollar - Swiss Franc) outlook and forecast is presented by the team of ForexAbode's analysts and is followed by the traders around the world. The outlook takes into account the various factors which can affect the future price action of USD/CHF. The factors to analyze the outlook are geo-political news, fundamentals including major economic releases and technical factors but most importantly we focus on the price-action analysis.
 
 
The outlook reflects our views for short-term to mid-term movement. However, sometimes the analysis takes into account the price-data which may span many years and have a longer-term view. This is also supported by our very popular chart alerts.
 
 
The weekly analysis includes the predictions for the next week's expected moves for the US dollar and the Swiss franc. However, the forecast is not only limited to the coming week but is applicable for the overall expectations for the near-term. Apart from the weekly forecasts we also update USD/CHF daily technical analysis which presents our views about the price action from short-term perspective.
 
 
You may also like to check the daily resistance and support levels at USD/CHF pivot points and the overall trend of the currency pair.
 

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Sep 04, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-09-04 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Personal Consumption Expenditure (MoM) 0.4% - quite better as compared to the previous release (-0.1%) and slightly less than the forecasts (0.5%). Personal Income data was same as the forecasts i.e. 0.3% which was higher than the previous release of 0.2%. 2. US: pending Home Sales (MoM) - quite negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Aug 28, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-08-28 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Ney Home Sales for July report- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 2. US: New Home Sales (month on month)- negative as compared to the forecasts but quite better than the previous release. 3. US: Durable Goods orders ex transportation- positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 4. US: Durable Goods orders- positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 5.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Aug 14, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-08-14 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Monthly Budget Statement: -129.4B i.e. positive as compared to the forecasts (-140.3B) but poor as compared to the previous release (-43.0B). 2. US: Trade Balance report: -53.07B i.e. negative as compared to the previous release (-50.83B) as well as forecasts (-47.50B). 3. US: Initial Jobless Claims: 395K i.e. positive as compared to the previous release (402K) as well as forecasts (402K).

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 31, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-07-31 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: New Home Sales- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. New Home Sales month on month data also negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts 2. US: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index- quite negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3. US Consumer Confidence- Positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 24, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-07-24 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Net Long Term TIC Flows report quite negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 2. US: Housing Starts report positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3. US: Building permits data positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 4. US: existing Home Sales (month on month) report quite negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 5.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 17, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-07-17 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Consumer Confidence report- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 2. US: Reuter/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3. US: ISM Manufacturing report- positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 4. US: Construction spending - same as the previous released data but less than the forecasts. 5.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 03, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-07-03 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Consumer Confidence report- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 2. US: Reuter/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3. US: ISM Manufacturing report- positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 4. US: Construction spending - same as the previous released data but less than the forecasts. 5.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jun 26, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-06-26 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Existing Home Sales Change report- negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. The Existing Home Sales MoM data was slightly better than the forecasts but quite negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 2. US: Jobless Claims data - negative as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jun 19, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-06-19 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: PPI (Producer Price Index) ex Food & Energy (YoY) - Slightly better than the forecasts but same as the previous release. 2. US: Retails Sales (MoM) data - slightly better than the forecasts but quite negative as compared to the previous release. 3. US: Producer Price Index (YoY) - positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jun 12, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-06-12 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Consumer Credit Change report positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 2. US: Trade Balance data positive as compared to the previous release as well as forecasts. 3. US: Monthly Budget Statement was quite better than the forecasts but less than the previous release. 4. US: There have been quite negative economic releases in the weeks before the previous week including a very negative nonfarm report.. 5.

Interest Rate difference of USD and CHF

USD to CHF Interest Rates Comparison
(For Carry Trades)
US Dollar (USD) interest rate
0.25%
Swiss franc (CHF) interest rate
0.00%
USD/CHF interest rate comparison
0.25%

Overall Price-Action Trend of USD/CHF 

Monthly chart of USD/CHF, indicating the overall trend.

The above chart shows that USD/CHF is once again testing the long-term price-action channel resistance. However considering the loss of downward momentum since the pair had gone for some correction during September 2011 and then has been staying well over 0.8500, the possibilities of an upward break are good. A break above November 2013's 0.9249 would represent that break. Such a move may take USD/CHF for some significant upward consolidation.

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