USD/CHF - Analysis, Outlook and Forecasts

USD/CHF (US Dollar - Swiss Franc) outlook and forecast is presented by the team of ForexAbode's analysts and is followed by the traders around the world. The outlook takes into account the various factors which can affect the future price action of USD/CHF. The factors to analyze the outlook are geo-political news, fundamentals including major economic releases and technical factors but most importantly we focus on the price-action analysis.
 
 
The outlook reflects our views for short-term to mid-term movement. However, sometimes the analysis takes into account the price-data which may span many years and have a longer-term view. This is also supported by our very popular chart alerts.
 
 
The weekly analysis includes the predictions for the next week's expected moves for the US dollar and the Swiss franc. However, the forecast is not only limited to the coming week but is applicable for the overall expectations for the near-term. Apart from the weekly forecasts we also update USD/CHF daily technical analysis which presents our views about the price action from short-term perspective.
 
 
You may also like to check the daily resistance and support levels at USD/CHF pivot points and the overall trend of the currency pair.
 

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Nov 20, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-11-20 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: PPI ex Food & Energy: 2.8%, slightly less than the forecasts of 2.9% but better than the previous release of 2.5%. 2. US: Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM): 0.6%, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.2%) as well as the previous release (0.5%). 3. US: Retail Sales (MoM): 0.5%, better than the forecasts of 0.3% but quite less than the previous 1.1%. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Nov 13, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-11-13 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Consumer Credit Change: 7.39 Billion Dollars, positive as compared to the forecasts (US$ 5.20 B) as well as the previous release (US$ -9.68 B). 2. US: RICS Hosing Price Balance: -24, slightly negative as compared to the forecasts as well as the previous release of -23. 3. US: Trade Balance: USD -43.10 Billion, positive as compared to the forecasts (-46.10B Dollars) as well as the previous release ($-44.92B). 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Oct 30, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-10-30 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Housing Price Index (MoM): -0.1%, negative as compared to the forecasts (0.1%) as well as the previous release (0.0%). 2. US: Consumer Confidence: 39.8, negative as compared to the forecasts (46.2) as well as the previous release (46.4). 3. US: Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation: 1.7%, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.4%) as well as the previous release (-0.4%). 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Oct 23, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-10-23 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Industrial Production (MoM): 0.2% which was same as the forecasts but better than the previous release of 0.0%. 2. US: PPI ex Food & Energy (MoM): 0.2%, same as the forecasts but better than the previous 0.1%. The month on month data was 2.5% and same as the previous release but better than the forecasts of 2.2%. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Oct 16, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-10-16 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Trade balance, US Dollar -45.6 B, slightly better than the previous release ($-46.30 B) but less than the forecasts (-46.30 B Dollar). 2. US: Retail Sales (MoM): 1.1%, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.5%) as well as the previous release (0.3%). 3. US: Import Price Index (MoM): 0.3%, positive as compared to the forecasts (_0.4%) as well as the previous release (-0.2%). 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Oct 09, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-10-09 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: ISM Price Paid: 56.0 and positive as compared to the previous release (55.5) as well as forecasts (54.3). 2. US: ISM Manufacturing: 51.6 and positive as compared to the previous release (50.6) as well as forecasts (50.5). 3. US: Construction Spending (MoM): 1.4% and positive as compared to the previous release (-1.4%) as well as forecasts (-0.2%). 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Oct 02, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-10-02 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: New Home Sales (MoM): -2.3% and negative as compared to the previous (-0.3%) release as well as forecasts (-1.0%). 2. US: Total New Home Sales for August: 0.295M hence negative as compared to the previous release (0.302M) as well as forecasts (0.296M). 3. US: Consumer Confidence: -4.1%, positive as compared to the previous release (-4.5%) as well as forecasts (-4.4%). 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Sep 25, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-09-25 00:00:00 GMT

1. Building Permits (MoM): 0.620 M and hence positive as compared to the previous release (0.597 M) as well as forecasts (0.600 M). 2. US: Housing Starts (MoM): 0.571 M and hence negative as compared to the previous release (0.601 M) as well as forecasts (0.590 M). 3. US: Existing home Sales Change: 5.3 Million and hence positive as compared to the previous release (4.67 M) as well as forecasts (4.76 M). 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Sep 18, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-09-18 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Monthly Budget Statement: US Dollars -134.15B, negative as compared to previous -129.40B. 2. US: PPI ex food & Energy (YoY): 2.5%, slightly less than the forecasts of 2.6% but same as the previous release. The month on month data was 0.1% and negative as compared to the previous release (0.2%) as well as forecasts (0.2%). 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Sep 11, 2011

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2011-09-11 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: ISM Non-Manufacturing 53.3: positive as compared to the previous release (52.7) as well as forecasts (51.3). 2. US: Trade Balance US$ 11.97B: positive as compared to the previous release (USD 11.35B) as well as forecasts (USD 5.40B). 3. Swiss: SNB intervention to stop the strength of Swiss Franc.

Interest Rate difference of USD and CHF

USD to CHF Interest Rates Comparison
(For Carry Trades)
US Dollar (USD) interest rate
0.25%
Swiss franc (CHF) interest rate
0.00%
USD/CHF interest rate comparison
0.25%

Overall Price-Action Trend of USD/CHF 

Monthly chart of USD/CHF, indicating the overall trend.

The above chart shows that USD/CHF is once again testing the long-term price-action channel resistance. However considering the loss of downward momentum since the pair had gone for some correction during September 2011 and then has been staying well over 0.8500, the possibilities of an upward break are good. A break above November 2013's 0.9249 would represent that break. Such a move may take USD/CHF for some significant upward consolidation.

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