USD/CHF - Analysis, Outlook and Forecasts

USD/CHF (US Dollar - Swiss Franc) outlook and forecast is presented by the team of ForexAbode's analysts and is followed by the traders around the world. The outlook takes into account the various factors which can affect the future price action of USD/CHF. The factors to analyze the outlook are geo-political news, fundamentals including major economic releases and technical factors but most importantly we focus on the price-action analysis.
 
 
The outlook reflects our views for short-term to mid-term movement. However, sometimes the analysis takes into account the price-data which may span many years and have a longer-term view. This is also supported by our very popular chart alerts.
 
 
The weekly analysis includes the predictions for the next week's expected moves for the US dollar and the Swiss franc. However, the forecast is not only limited to the coming week but is applicable for the overall expectations for the near-term. Apart from the weekly forecasts we also update USD/CHF daily technical analysis which presents our views about the price action from short-term perspective.
 
 
You may also like to check the daily resistance and support levels at USD/CHF pivot points and the overall trend of the currency pair.
 

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Apr 21, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-04-21 00:00:00 GMT

1. US$: Retail Sales (MoM): 0.8%, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.3%) but less than the previous 1.0%. 2. US$: Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM): 0.8%, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.6%) as well as the previous (0.9%). 3. US$: Net Long-Term TIC Floes: USD 10.1B, quite negative as compared to the forecasts (USD 40.0B) as well as the previous 102.4B US Dollars. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Apr 14, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-04-14 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Monthly Budget Statement: USD -198.16B, less than the forecasts of USD 1196.00B but quite better than the previous -232.00B. 2. US: Producer Price Index: Year on year change 2.8%, negative as compared to the forecasts (3.1%) as well as the previous 3.3%. 3. US: PPI ex Food & Energy: Year on year change 2.9%, better than the forecasts of 2.8% but less than the previous 3.0%. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Apr 08, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-04-08 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Construction Spending (MoM): -1.1%, negative as compared to the forecasts (0.6%) as well as the previous -0.8%. 2. US: ISM Manufacturing: 53.4, positive as compared to the forecasts (53.0) as well as the previous 52.4. 3. US: ISM Prices Paid: 61.0, slightly better than the previous 61.5 but less than the expected 63.0. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Apr 01, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-04-01 00:00:00 GMT

1. US Dollar: Consumer Confidence: 70.2, slightly better than the forecasts of 70.0 but less than the previous 71.6. 2. US Dollar: Durable Goods Orders: 2.2%, less than the forecasts of 3.0% but quite better than the previous -3.6%. Same with the durable goods orders ex transportation which were 1.6% against the expected 1.8% and the previous -3.2%. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Mar 25, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-03-25 00:00:00 GMT

1. US($): Existing home Sales Change: -0.9%, negative as compared to the forecasts (1.1%) as well as the previous 5.7%. 2. US($): Leading Indicators (MoM): 0.7%, positive as compared to the forecast (0.7%) as well as the previous 0.2%. 3. US($): New Home Sales: 0.313M, negative as compared to the expectations of 0.325M as well as the previous 0.318M.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Mar 11, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-03-11 00:00:00 GMT

1. US ($): Nonfarm Payrolls: 227K, quite better than the forecasts of 210K, though less than the previous 284K. 2. US ($): Factory Orders (MoM): -1.0%, positive as compared to the forecast of -1.5% but quite negative as compared to the previous 1.4%. 3. US ($): ISM Non-Manufacturing: 57.3, positive as compared to the forecasts (56.1) as well as the previous 56.8. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Mar 03, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-03-03 00:00:00 GMT

1. US ($): Durable Goods Orders: -4.0%, quite negative as compared to the forecasts (-1.0%) as well as the previous 3.2%. 2. US ($): Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation: -3.2%, negative as compared to the forecasts (0.0%) as well as the previous 2.2%. 3. US ($): Consumer Confidence: 70.8, quite positive as compared to the forecasts (63.0) as well as the previous 61.5. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Feb 19, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-02-19 00:00:00 GMT

1. US ($): Retail Sales (MoM): 0.4%, less than the forecasts of 0.7% but better than the previous 0.0%. 2. US ($): Retail Sales ex Autos: 0.7%, positive as compared to the expected (0.5%) as well as the previous -0.5%. 3. US ($): NY Empire State Manufacturing Index: 19.53, positive as compared to the forecast (15.00) as well as the previous 13.48. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Feb 12, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-02-12 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Trade Balance: USD -48.80B, negative as compared to the forecast -48.20B Dollars as well as the previous USD -47.06B. 2. US: Reuter/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Prelim): 72.5, negative as compared to the forecast (74.3) as well as the previous 75.0. 3. US: Monthly Budget Statement: USD -27.40B, quite positive as compared to the forecasts (-50.00B dollars) as well as the previous USD -85.97B. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Feb 04, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-02-04 00:00:00 GMT

1. US: Personal Consumption Expenditure (MoM): 0.2%, same as the forecast of 0.1% but better than the previous 0.0%. The year on year data 2.4% was slightly better than the forecasts of 2.3% but less than the previous 2.6%. 2. US: Core Personal Consumption Expenditure: Month on month 0.2%, positive as compared to the forecast as well as the previous 0.1%.

Interest Rate difference of USD and CHF

USD to CHF Interest Rates Comparison
(For Carry Trades)
US Dollar (USD) interest rate
0.25%
Swiss franc (CHF) interest rate
0.00%
USD/CHF interest rate comparison
0.25%

Overall Price-Action Trend of USD/CHF 

Monthly chart of USD/CHF, indicating the overall trend.

The above chart shows that USD/CHF is once again testing the long-term price-action channel resistance. However considering the loss of downward momentum since the pair had gone for some correction during September 2011 and then has been staying well over 0.8500, the possibilities of an upward break are good. A break above November 2013's 0.9249 would represent that break. Such a move may take USD/CHF for some significant upward consolidation.

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