USD/CHF - Analysis, Outlook and Forecasts

USD/CHF (US Dollar - Swiss Franc) outlook and forecast is presented by the team of ForexAbode's analysts and is followed by the traders around the world. The outlook takes into account the various factors which can affect the future price action of USD/CHF. The factors to analyze the outlook are geo-political news, fundamentals including major economic releases and technical factors but most importantly we focus on the price-action analysis.
 
 
The outlook reflects our views for short-term to mid-term movement. However, sometimes the analysis takes into account the price-data which may span many years and have a longer-term view. This is also supported by our very popular chart alerts.
 
 
The weekly analysis includes the predictions for the next week's expected moves for the US dollar and the Swiss franc. However, the forecast is not only limited to the coming week but is applicable for the overall expectations for the near-term. Apart from the weekly forecasts we also update USD/CHF daily technical analysis which presents our views about the price action from short-term perspective.
 
 
You may also like to check the daily resistance and support levels at USD/CHF pivot points and the overall trend of the currency pair.
 

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 29, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-07-29 00:00:00 GMT

USD/CHF Outlook: US Dollar-Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) went as high as 0.9972 i.e. over 0.9950 mentioned by us during last weekend. The currency pair fell strongly from there and went as low as 0.9695 before closing for the week at 0.9749. Please note that the support came just over 55-day EMA and it is yet to be seen if this support holds or not.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 22, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-07-22 00:00:00 GMT

USD/CHF - Technical and market perception: 1. ADX: USD/CHF daily +DI line had moved above -DI line quite sharply 3 weeks back and it stays above with a wide gap. ADX is well over 25 and rising (approx 37.00 from last weekend's 31). 2. MACD: USD/CHF daily MACD line had moved below the signal line weakly but slopped upwards almost immediately to touch the signal line.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jul 14, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-07-14 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Consumer Credit Change: USD 17.12B, positive as compared to the forecasts (USD 8.50B) as well as the previous 10.00B US Dollar. 2. US (USD): MBA Mortgage Applications: -2.1%, positive as compared to the previous release of -6.7%. 3. US (USD): Trade Balance USD -48.68B, less than the consensus of USD -48.80B but better than the previous release of -50.60B US Dollars. 4. US (USD): 10-year Note Auction: 1.459% i.e.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jun 23, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-06-23 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Housing Starts: 0.708 Million, negative as compared to the forecasts (0.720 M) as well as the previous 0.744 Million. 2. US (USD): Building Permits: 0.780 Million, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.730 M) as well as the previous 0.723 Million. 3. US (USD): Interest Rate was kept same at 0.25%. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jun 17, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-06-17 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Housing Starts: 0.708 Million, negative as compared to the forecasts (0.720 M) as well as the previous 0.744 Million. 2. US (USD): Building Permits: 0.780 Million, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.730 M) as well as the previous 0.723 Million. 3. US (USD): Interest Rate was kept same at 0.25%. 4.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Jun 03, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-06-03 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Consumer Confidence: 64.9, negative as compared to the forecasts (70.0) as well as the previous 68.7. 2. US (USD): Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index: -5.1, negative as compared to the previous -3.4. 3. US (USD): ADP Employment Change: 133K, though less than the expectations of 148K but quite better than the previous 113K. 4. US (USD): GDP Annualized; 1.9%, same as the forecasts but less than the previous 2.2%. 5.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - May 27, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-05-27 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Existing Home Sales: 4.62M, positive as compared to the forecasts (4.60) as well as the previous 4.47M. The month on month change in existing home sales was 3.4% and better than the expected 3.1% and previous -2.8%. 2. US (USD): New Home Sales (MoM): 0.343M, positive as compared to the forecasts (0.335M) as well as the previous 0.332M. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - May 12, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-05-12 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Consumer Credit Change: USD 21.36B, quite positive as compared to the forecasts (USD 9.80B) as well as the previous 9.27B US Dollars. 2. US (USD): Jobless Claims: Initial Claims data 367K was slightly positive as compared to the forecasts (369K) as well as the previous 368K. Same with continuing jobless claim which were 3.229M against the expected 3.278M and previous 3.290M. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - May 06, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-05-06 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Personal Consumption Expenditure 0 Price Index: Year on year 2.1%, negative as compared to the forecasts (2.2%) as well as the previous 2.3%. 2. US (USD): Core Personal Consumption Index: Year on year 2.0% was slightly positive as compared to the forecasts as well as the previous 1.9%. Month on month change 0.2% was same as expected but better than the previous 0.1%. 3.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook - Apr 28, 2012

Written By : ForexAbode.com || 2012-04-28 00:00:00 GMT

1. US (USD): Consumer Confidence: 69.2, slightly negative as compared to the forecasts (69.7) as well as the previous 69.5. 2. US (USD): New Home Sales: 0.328M, better than the expected 0.320M but quite less than the previous 0.353M. The month on month change -7.1% was quite negative as compared to the forecasts (2.2%) as well as the previous 7.3%. 3.

Interest Rate difference of USD and CHF

USD to CHF Interest Rates Comparison
(For Carry Trades)
US Dollar (USD) interest rate
0.25%
Swiss franc (CHF) interest rate
0.00%
USD/CHF interest rate comparison
0.25%

Overall Price-Action Trend of USD/CHF 

Monthly chart of USD/CHF, indicating the overall trend.

The above chart shows that USD/CHF is once again testing the long-term price-action channel resistance. However considering the loss of downward momentum since the pair had gone for some correction during September 2011 and then has been staying well over 0.8500, the possibilities of an upward break are good. A break above November 2013's 0.9249 would represent that break. Such a move may take USD/CHF for some significant upward consolidation.

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